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  Indian J Med Microbiol
 

Figure 5: Results of exponential smoothing algorithm for clinical trials (Forecast ±  95% C.I). Number of articles will increase from 414 in 2015 to 917 articles in 2036. Alpha parameter is 0.75 and beta parameter is zero, showing the forecast is based more on the recent data and trends. Gama parameter is zero, indicating the data and forecast are not influenced by the seasonal changes. Mean absolute scaled error (MASE) is 3.26 and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) is 0.13, indicating an acceptable level of forecast accuracy

Figure 5: Results of exponential smoothing algorithm for clinical trials (Forecast ±  95% C.I). Number of articles will increase from 414 in 2015 to 917 articles in 2036. Alpha parameter is 0.75 and beta parameter is zero, showing the forecast is based more on the recent data and trends. Gama parameter is zero, indicating the data and forecast are not influenced by the seasonal changes. Mean absolute scaled error (MASE) is 3.26 and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) is 0.13, indicating an acceptable level of forecast accuracy